Counterfactuals: Reasoning About What Did Not Happen
To ask what would have happened is to reason about a world that never was.
To ask what would have happened is to reason about a world that never was.
When something changes, most things do not.
A reward arrives, but which of many past choices deserves the thanks? When cause and consequence are separated by time and tangled with chance, assigning credit is the central puzzle of learning to act..
To learn a new thing can be to lose an old one.
The world's appearances arise from a few underlying factors, mixed together.
Before a problem can be solved it must be described, and the description decides the difficulty.
To predict a system's behavior one can watch it for a long time or imagine many copies at once.
No finite set of examples logically compels a general conclusion.
Noise is usually the enemy of signal, yet in learning and in nature it can help.
To train a model is to descend a landscape of error, seeking its lowest point.